An Independent Constraint on Climate Sensitivity Print E-mail
Written by Christopher Monckton of Brenchley   
Tuesday, 04 September 2012 09:59

Global CO2 emissions per unit annual increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration show no significant trend over the 49 year timescale of the available data (1960-2008). The mean emissions/concentration-growth ratio over the period was 15.5 Gte CO2 ppmv–1. Current central estimates are that CO2 concentration will rise by 345 ppmv over the 21st century, during which CO2-driven warming is projected to be 1.56 K, suggesting that, on a centennial scale, CO2 concentration must rise by 223 ppmv, or 3450 Gte CO2, to cause 1 K of warming. Since total global CO2 emissions from 1960-2008 were 975 Gte CO2, the CO2-driven contribution to the 0.66 K measured global warming over the period was 0.28 K. However, on currently-accepted central estimates, the CO2-driven warming over the period was almost two-thirds higher, at 0.46 K. The ratio of CO2 emissions to concentration change – useful as an independent constraint on climate sensitivity – suggests that CO2-driven warming in the 21st century may be little more than 1 K. In the short term and perhaps also in the long, climate sensitivity may lie below the values found in the general-circulation models.



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Effects of Atmospheric C02 Enrichment on Plant Hormones Print E-mail
Written by Staff   
Thursday, 30 August 2012 10:39

With respect to the significance of these findings, the six Chinese researchers write that plant hormones "can enhance plant growth and development by stimulating cell division, cell elongation and protein synthesis (Yong et al., 2000), whereas ABA is considered an inhibitor of leaf growth (Zhang and Davies, 1990)." In addition, they note that "plant hormone metabolism is dependent on the supply of carbohydrates (Taiz and Zeiger, 1998)." Therefore, based on what they learned from their experiment, they concluded that "higher carbohydrate production," such as that induced by atmospheric CO2 enrichment, "may result in higher hormone concentrations, which in turn may enhance plant growth," a phenomenon that has also been observed by Jitla et al. (1997) and Li et al. (2002), the latter of whom reported that elevated CO2 increased the concentrations of several plant hormones in leaf and aerial root tips of an epiphytic CAM orchid by as much as 21-fold.



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Effects of Atmospheric C02 Enrichment on Fluctuating Asymetry Print E-mail
Written by Staff   
Thursday, 30 August 2012 10:29

Fluctuating asymmetry (FA) is the terminology used to describe small variations from perfect symmetry in otherwise bilaterally-symmetrical characters in an organism (Moller and Swaddle, 1997). It is believed to arise in consequence of developmental instability experienced during ontogeny that is caused by various stresses, including both genetic and environmental factors (Martel et al., 1999; Cornelissen and Stiling, 2005); and it has been studied extensively in animals but less so in plants (Moller and Shykoff, 1999).

In the first study to address the effects of atmospheric CO2 enrichment on leaf asymmetry and how herbivores respond to these effects, Cornelissen et al. (2004)1 opened up a whole new window through which to view the world of the future in terms of the potential effects of the ongoing rise in the air's CO2 content on the plant and animal components of the biosphere. The Cornelissen et al. study was conducted on a native scrub-oak community at the Kennedy Space Center, Titusville, Florida, USA, which is dominated by myrtle oak (Quercus myrtifolia) and sand live oak (Quercus geminata) under atmospheric CO2 concentrations of approximately 370 and 700 ppm.



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Global Warming Opinion Polls: Americans Are Clear - No Energy Taxes Print E-mail
Written by Staff   
Tuesday, 28 August 2012 13:14

The public opinion of Americans, as captured by various polling organizations over the past few years, can generally and concisely be summed up as:

  • ü The earth is warming
  • ü Human activities probably have something to do with this ? (although the impacts are being exaggerated)
  • ü We have many more important concerns (jobs, economy, etc.) that we think Congress and the President ought to focus on, and
  • ü Any action that is aimed at mitigating greenhouse gas emissions should not cost us much, if anything at all ? (and direct taxes on gasoline or electricity are out).


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Is C02 Mitigation Cost-Effective? Print E-mail
Written by Christopher Monckton of Brenchley   
Monday, 27 August 2012 15:49

This note, prepared for distinguished scientific delegates at the 2012 annual seminars on planetary emergencies of the World Federation of Scientists, demonstrates the application of a much-simplified method of climate-mitigation investment appraisal to the recently-introduced Australian carbon dioxide tax. For the first time, mainstream climatological and economic-appraisal approaches are combined in a simple but robust appraisal method. The $130 bn cost of the Australian carbon tax (Parliament of Australia, 2011) over the intended ten-year term is compared with its benefit in the cost of warming-related damage avoided by successful implementation and the consequent intended 5% cut in Australia’s emissions. A zero inter-temporal discount rate is assumed. The minimum market rate would be 5% (Murphy et al., 2008). The calculations are made explicit.



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Samples of U.S. Government Grants to the Global Warming Industry Print E-mail
Written by Dennis Ambler   
Friday, 24 August 2012 12:48

$1.9 million in environmental justice grants 10th May 2010 The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has awarded $1.9 million in environmental justice grants to 76 non-profit organizations and local governments working on environmental justice issues nationwide. The grant program supports Administrator Lisa P. Jackson’s priority to expand the conversation on environmentalism and work for environmental justice.



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Manmade Contribution to Global Warming is Not a Planetary Emergency Print E-mail
Written by President Václav Klaus, Czech Republic   
Wednesday, 22 August 2012 09:31

Many thanks for the invitation to attend your conference and to speak here. I appreciate that a mere politician, a former economist, has been invited to address this well-known gathering of highly respected scientists. If I understand it correctly, this year´s seminar is devoted to the discussion of the role of science and of “planetary emergencies”.

To the first topic, I want to say very clearly that I don´t see a special role for science which would be different from doing science. I have, of course, in mind “normal science”, not a “post-normal science” whose ambitions are very often connected with political activism. The role of scientists is not in speculating on the probabilities of events that cannot be directly measured and tested, nor in promoting a pseudo-scientific “precautionary principle”, nor in engaging in activities which are the proper function not of scientists but of risk managers.



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Does Climate Money Matter? Is A Monopoly Good for a Market? Print E-mail
Written by Joanne Nova   
Monday, 20 August 2012 17:05

Alarmists rarely attack, or even mention the Climate Money paper I did in 2009. It’s an own goal to draw attention to the fact that skeptics are paid a pittance, while the alarm industry soaks in extended baths of cash, grants, and junkets, and the vested interests are a magnitude larger. Exxon might lose some money if a carbon tax comes in, but the world will still need oil. The same can’t be said for ACME-Solar. If a carbon scheme falls over, so does a Solyndra.



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Extreme Temperatures in Asia Print E-mail
Written by Staff   
Monday, 20 August 2012 16:57

One of the projected negative consequences of global warming is a concomitant increase in climatic variability, including more frequent hot weather events. It is a relatively easy matter to either substantiate or refute such claims by examining trends of extreme temperatures over the past century or so; because if global warming has truly been occurring at an unprecedented rate over the past hundred years, as climate alarmists claim it has, temperature variability and extreme temperature events should be increasing, according to them. Therefore, this review investigates this issue as it pertains to locations in Asia.



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Flood Activity in Asia Print E-mail
Written by Staff   
Thursday, 16 August 2012 16:09

Based on simulations provided by mathematical models, climate alarmists generally predict more frequent and more severe floods in response to global warming. In this summary we examine real-world data relative to this claim as it pertains to Asia.



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Climate Change and Freedom Print E-mail
Written by Dr. David M.W. Evans   
Tuesday, 14 August 2012 16:15

How the regulating class is using claims about climate change to entrench and extend their economic privileges and political control. Climate change is also a freedom issue. We are being presented with only one “solution” to the “problem” of climate change, namely a lot more regulation by our governing bureaucratic class.



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Reply to a Climate Extremist Print E-mail
Written by Christopher Monckton of Brenchley   
Monday, 13 August 2012 11:54

In August 2012, a climate extremist addressed to various skeptical climate researchers what he offensively called “an appeal to you to be reasonable”. Christopher Monckton of Brenchley replied, whereupon the extremist – unable or unwilling to produce a single scientific argument – said he did not wish to pursue the debate further. This paper is an extended version of the reply to the climate extremist.



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Climate and Fire Print E-mail
Written by Staff   
Thursday, 09 August 2012 15:08

According to model-based predictions, larger and more intense wildfires will increase as a result of CO2-induced global warming; and as a result, many scientists have begun to search for a link between fire and climate, often examining trends of the past to see if they support the model projections. In the following summary, therefore, we examine what has been learned, starting with studies conducted in North America and ending with the planet as a whole.



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Hail Storm Trends Print E-mail
Written by Staff   
Wednesday, 08 August 2012 12:54

Insurance costs related to life and property damages caused by extreme weather events have been steadily rising in the United States and elsewhere; and it is not uncommon for many in the insurance industry and government to place the blame for this development on what they claim are significant increases in the frequencies and intensities of severe weather events, since climate models suggest that these phenomena should be increasing as a consequence of CO2-induced global warming. But is this explanation correct? The following material reviews this question as it pertains to hail storms.



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Update on the Latest Climate Change Science: The Natural Occurrence of Extreme Weather Print E-mail
Written by Dr. John R. Christy   
Monday, 06 August 2012 00:00

Senate testimony of Dr. John Christy, August 2012

It is popular again to claim that extreme events, such as the current central U.S. drought, are evidence of human-caused climate change. Actually, the Earth is very large, the weather is very dynamic, and extreme events will continue to occur somewhere, every year, naturally. The recent “extremes” were exceeded in previous decades.



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Storm Trends in Australia and New Zealand? No Evidence That C02 Increases Extreme Weather Print E-mail
Written by Joanne Nova   
Thursday, 02 August 2012 10:48

Get ready — for all the fears of extreme weather coming our way — studies of Queensland, Victoria, the whole of SE Australia, New Zealand, and Perth show that either nothing is changing (there have always been bad storms) or possibly, the weather is better now than it used to be. Where is the evidence to support the claims by alarmists that increasing CO2 will make “extreme weather” more common?



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Extreme Temperatures Across the Rest of the Globe Print E-mail
Written by Staff   
Tuesday, 31 July 2012 12:07

One of the projected negative consequences of global warming is a concomitant increase in climatic variability, including more frequent hot weather events. It is a relatively easy matter to either substantiate or refute such claims by examining trends in extreme temperatures over the past century or so; because if global warming has truly been occurring at an unprecedented rate over the past hundred years, as climate alarmists claim it has, temperature variability and extreme temperature events should be increasing, according to them. In prior summaries we have investigated this issue as it pertains to North America, Europe, and Asia. In the present review, we investigate how it pertains to other locations across the globe.



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Be Skeptical of Skeptic's Skepticism of Skeptics Print E-mail
Written by Christopher Monckton of Brenchley   
Wednesday, 25 July 2012 10:18

Be skeptical, be very skeptical, of Skeptic magazine’s skepticism of climate skeptics. The latest issue has, as its cover story, a Climate Change Q&A, revealingly subtitled Climate Deniers’ Arguments & Climate Scientists’ Answers.

The article, written by Dr. Donald Prothero, a geology professor at Occidental College, opens with the bold heading How We Know Global Warming is Real and Human-Caused.



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First Half of Year Papers Print E-mail
Written by Staff   
Tuesday, 24 July 2012 14:16

A collection of the first half of 2012's papers published by the Science and Public Policy Institute and the Center for the Study of Carbon Dioxide and Global Change.



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Droughts in Mexico Print E-mail
Written by Staff   
Friday, 20 July 2012 13:58

Climate alarmists warn of all sorts of weather disasters, including droughts, as the Earth recovers from the debilitating chill of the Little Ice Age and begins to experience the more benign temperatures of the Current Warm Period. Does history vindicate them? This question is explored via brief reviews of several papers investigating the occurrence of droughts in Mexico.



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