The NAS panel's scientific justification for increasing the price of carbon dioxide does not include new research, but instead draws from the standard set of human-caused-climate-change-is-happening-and-will-be-bad talking points. The climate change science that the NAS found significant for basing their recommendations for increasing the price of carbon dioxide emissions is summarized in Chapter 2 ("Causes and Consequences of Climate Change") of the NAS report.

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A compact fluorescent light (CFL) on the ceiling burst and started a fire in a home in Hornell, N.Y. December 23, 2010. “Those are the lights everybody’s been telling us to use,” said Joe Gerych, Steuben County Fire Inspector. “It blew up like a bomb. It spattered all over.” Fire Chief Mike Robbins said the blaze destroyed the room where the fire started and everything in it, and the rest of the house suffered smoke and water damage. The Arkport Village Fire Department as well as the North Hornell Fire Department required about 15 minutes to put out the fire.

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In an interview and paper published in 21st Century in 2007, I have shown that global sea level is not in an alarming rising mode, which is the main threat in the International Panel on Climate Change scenario.

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In view of the rejection by the EPA of challenges to their endangerment finding, why would we be surprised to find that they have a long-term stake in the IPCC’s climate models and in the continuance of the IPCC itself.

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A few months ago Judicial Watch, which describes itself as a “a conservative, non-partisan educational foundation, [which] promotes transparency, accountability and integrity in government, politics and the law” summarized the results of its Freedom of Information request for records concerning Nancy Pelosi’s use of Air Force aircraft for her transportation while Speaker of the House.

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SUMMARY FOR POLICYMAKERS

In this report, we examine the historical observations of weather and climate in Montana. We find that climate variability from year-to-year and decade-to-decade plays a significant role in Montana’s climate.

While temperatures have generally appeared to have risen across the state over the past century (although part of this rise may be a result of non-climatic influences on the thermometers), precipitation changes have been largely limited to the early portion of the 20th century, and other climate impacts, such as drought, wildfires, and glacier changes are largely influenced by natural variations and cycles driven in part by decadal variations in the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans. Further, “tropical” disease such as malaria or the West Nile Virus are not so much influenced by the climate as they are by the (already extant) and widespread presence of the host species.

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On March 8, 2011, Dr. Richard Somerville supplied written testimony to the U.S House of Representatives Committee on Energy and Commerce Subcommittee on Energy and Power. Dr. Somerville’s testimony was an eloquently packaged collection of general alarmist talking points that closely follows his 2009 Copenhagen Diagnosis. It consists of a selective presentation of post-AR4 findings on climate change—carefully groomed to forward his point of view that disaster is imminently upon us if large and drastic cuts in greenhouse gases emissions are not immediately undertaken.

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1. Research has shown that a focus on just carbon dioxide and a few other greenhouse gases as the dominant human influence on climate is too narrow, and misses other important human influences.

2. The phrases “global warming” and “climate change” are not the same. Global warming is a subset of climate change.

3. The prediction (or projection) of regional weather, including extremes, decades into the future is far more difficult than commonly assumed. In addition, the attribution of extreme events to a particular subset of climate forcings is scientifically incomplete if the research ignores other relevant human and natural causes of extreme weather events.

4. The climate science assessments of the IPCC and CCSP, as well as the various statements issued by the AGU, AMS, and NRC, are completed by a small subset of climate scientists who are often the same individuals in each case.

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Whilst everyone has been occupied with EPA Administrator Lisa Jackson’s defense before Congress of the EPA’s attempts to regulate CO2 emissions, the Administration has continued to move towards International Ocean Governance with the establishment of a Governance Coordinating Committee for the National Ocean Council, (NOC). The NOC has been long in the making and earlier history of Ocean legislation can be found here, going back to the 1969 Stratton Commission and beyond. However the current impetus dates to the Pew Oceans Commission in 2003 and the U.S. Commission on Ocean Policy - An Ocean Blueprint for the 21st Century in 2004, mandated by the Oceans Act 2000.

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The US congress sub-committee on Energy and Commerce Committee held hearings on whether to restrict in some way the EPA’s regulatory authority relative to greenhouse gas emissions.

There were 7 scientists invited to testify. Three of the four who argued not to restrict the EPA played a key role in the last IPCC report (and will also in the next one) and generally started with the position that IPCC science was sound and there was a consensus of all real scientists.

In the attached analysis we take a look at the IPCC based science.

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The validity of the manmade global warming alarm requires the support of scientific forecasts of (1) a substantive long-term rise in global mean temperatures in the absence of regulations, (2) serious net harmful effects due to global warming, and (3) cost-effective regulations that would produce net beneficial effects versus alternatives such as doing nothing.

Without scientific forecasts for all three aspects of the alarm, there is no scientific basis to enact regulations. In effect, it is a three-legged stool. Despite repeated appeals to global warming alarmists, we have been unable to find scientific forecasts for any of the three legs.

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It has come to my attention that data and information from my team's upcoming paper, shared in confidence with Dr. Muller, is being used to suggest some early conclusions about the state of the quality of the surface temperature measurement system of the United States and the temperature data derived from it.

Normally such scientific debate is conducted in peer reviewed literature, rather than rushed to the floor of the House before papers and projects are complete, but since my team and I are not here to represent our work in person, we ask that this letter be submitted into the Congressional record.

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Climate change in Utah is often quantified by measures such as the statewide temperature history as aggregated from the historical records of local observing sites scattered around the state. However, we show that there are many influences on these local thermometers that make them inappropriate for use “as is” in contributing to the establishment of reliable temperature records to be used in gauging the character and magnitude of fluctuations and/or trends in state, regional or global climate.

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THE TRAGIC EVENTS of March 2011 in Japan, with the loss of some 50,000 lives as a result of perhaps the worst tsunami to strike the islands since records began, produced the usual crop of wild, nonsensical, irresponsible statements from climate extremists blaming the catastrophe on manmade “global warming”, which had nothing to do with it.

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We have analyzed a wide variety of albedo and IR differences which are associated with rainfall variations on many different space and time scales. Our goal is to determine the extent to which we are able to accept or reject the reality of the Global Climate Model (GCM) simulations. The following analysis indicates that the GCM simulation of the influence of a doubling of CO2 give far too much global warming. We anticipate that a doubling of CO2 will act in a way to cause the global hydrologic cycle to increase in strength by approximately 3-4 percent. Our analysis indicates that there will be very little global temperature increase (~0.3oC) for a doubling of CO2, certainly not the 2-5oC projected by the GCMs.

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Globally, in 2009, humankind emitted 30,303 million metric tons of carbon dioxide (mmtCO2: EIA, 2011a), of which emissions from Australia accounted for 418 mmtCO2, or a 1.38% (EIA, 2011a). The proportion of manmade CO2 emissions from Australia will decrease over the 21st century as the rapid demand for power in developing countries such as China and India rapidly outpaces the growth of Australia’s CO2 emissions (EIA, 2010).

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America urgently needs a rational energy policy. Such a policy should be based upon economics and reliability, yet options favored by our current government provide no real solutions to meeting future energy needs in a responsible and cost effective way.

Science & Public Policy’s readers are aware of the abundant empirical evidence that the earth’s climate is predominantly driven by natural forces, and that manmade carbon dioxide emissions do not significantly affect climate in a negative way. Recommendations herein are based upon that premise. Carbon dioxide is regarded by the author as a natural and beneficial constituent of our atmosphere, and that no harm would result from burning all of earth’s economically recoverable fossil fuels.

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Global Warming: How to approach the science.
Richard S. Lindzen
Program in Atmospheres, Oceans, and Climate
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Testimony: House Subcommittee on Science and Technology hearing on A Rational Discussion of Climate Change: the Science, the Evidence, the Response
November 17, 2010

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The story of environmentalism is generally portrayed as one of citizens triumphing over evil corporate polluters, of public awareness, science, and affluence working together to solve pressing problems. There is no problem so huge or so abstract that we cannot solve it if we put our minds to it And solving these problems yields all sorts of positive side-effects and no drawbacks.

While that may be the perception, it is far from the fact. Public awareness is easily swayed by media campaigns that are little more than propaganda and supported by a press that would rather take sides than present balanced reports. Science is largely bought and paid for by politicians who control the agenda and the outcome. And our affluence, or what is left of it, is viewed as an inexhaustible source of revenue for whatever fantastic ideas the political class can dream up. Negative consequences of such folly are viewed as so impossible as to be unworthy of discussion.

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