The validity of the manmade global warming alarm requires the support of scientific forecasts of (1) a substantive long-term rise in global mean temperatures in the absence of regulations, (2) serious net harmful effects due to global warming, and (3) cost-effective regulations that would produce net beneficial effects versus alternatives such as doing nothing.

Without scientific forecasts for all three aspects of the alarm, there is no scientific basis to enact regulations. In effect, it is a three-legged stool. Despite repeated appeals to global warming alarmists, we have been unable to find scientific forecasts for any of the three legs.

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It has come to my attention that data and information from my team's upcoming paper, shared in confidence with Dr. Muller, is being used to suggest some early conclusions about the state of the quality of the surface temperature measurement system of the United States and the temperature data derived from it.

Normally such scientific debate is conducted in peer reviewed literature, rather than rushed to the floor of the House before papers and projects are complete, but since my team and I are not here to represent our work in person, we ask that this letter be submitted into the Congressional record.

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Climate change in Utah is often quantified by measures such as the statewide temperature history as aggregated from the historical records of local observing sites scattered around the state. However, we show that there are many influences on these local thermometers that make them inappropriate for use “as is” in contributing to the establishment of reliable temperature records to be used in gauging the character and magnitude of fluctuations and/or trends in state, regional or global climate.

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THE TRAGIC EVENTS of March 2011 in Japan, with the loss of some 50,000 lives as a result of perhaps the worst tsunami to strike the islands since records began, produced the usual crop of wild, nonsensical, irresponsible statements from climate extremists blaming the catastrophe on manmade “global warming”, which had nothing to do with it.

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We have analyzed a wide variety of albedo and IR differences which are associated with rainfall variations on many different space and time scales. Our goal is to determine the extent to which we are able to accept or reject the reality of the Global Climate Model (GCM) simulations. The following analysis indicates that the GCM simulation of the influence of a doubling of CO2 give far too much global warming. We anticipate that a doubling of CO2 will act in a way to cause the global hydrologic cycle to increase in strength by approximately 3-4 percent. Our analysis indicates that there will be very little global temperature increase (~0.3oC) for a doubling of CO2, certainly not the 2-5oC projected by the GCMs.

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Globally, in 2009, humankind emitted 30,303 million metric tons of carbon dioxide (mmtCO2: EIA, 2011a), of which emissions from Australia accounted for 418 mmtCO2, or a 1.38% (EIA, 2011a). The proportion of manmade CO2 emissions from Australia will decrease over the 21st century as the rapid demand for power in developing countries such as China and India rapidly outpaces the growth of Australia’s CO2 emissions (EIA, 2010).

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America urgently needs a rational energy policy. Such a policy should be based upon economics and reliability, yet options favored by our current government provide no real solutions to meeting future energy needs in a responsible and cost effective way.

Science & Public Policy’s readers are aware of the abundant empirical evidence that the earth’s climate is predominantly driven by natural forces, and that manmade carbon dioxide emissions do not significantly affect climate in a negative way. Recommendations herein are based upon that premise. Carbon dioxide is regarded by the author as a natural and beneficial constituent of our atmosphere, and that no harm would result from burning all of earth’s economically recoverable fossil fuels.

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Global Warming: How to approach the science.
Richard S. Lindzen
Program in Atmospheres, Oceans, and Climate
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Testimony: House Subcommittee on Science and Technology hearing on A Rational Discussion of Climate Change: the Science, the Evidence, the Response
November 17, 2010

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The story of environmentalism is generally portrayed as one of citizens triumphing over evil corporate polluters, of public awareness, science, and affluence working together to solve pressing problems. There is no problem so huge or so abstract that we cannot solve it if we put our minds to it And solving these problems yields all sorts of positive side-effects and no drawbacks.

While that may be the perception, it is far from the fact. Public awareness is easily swayed by media campaigns that are little more than propaganda and supported by a press that would rather take sides than present balanced reports. Science is largely bought and paid for by politicians who control the agenda and the outcome. And our affluence, or what is left of it, is viewed as an inexhaustible source of revenue for whatever fantastic ideas the political class can dream up. Negative consequences of such folly are viewed as so impossible as to be unworthy of discussion.

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The observations we have detailed herein illustrate that climate variability from year-to-year and decade-to-decade plays a greater role in Virginia’s climate than any long-term trends. Such short-term variability will continue dominating Virginia’s climate into the future.

At the century timescale, Virginia’s climate shows no statically significant trend in statewide average annual temperature, statewide total annual precipitation, or in the frequency and/or severity of droughts. The same is true for tropical cyclones impacting Virginia and the United States — there is a great degree of annual and decadal variability that can be traced long into the past, but no 20th century trends in frequency, intensity, or damage (when adjusted for demographic changes).

Global sea levels are rising at a pace that is not dissimilar to that experienced and adapted to during the 20th century.

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Summary: A new paper from a group of IPCC authors in conjunction with the re-insurance industry, now claim they have found the Holy Grail; they can definitely say that the year 2000 floods in the British Isles were made worse by global human CO2 emissions and they imply that they can make this attribution for any event in the future.

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Summary: For good or ill, climate has grown to become a central issue over these decades. Claiming that people are poor and helpless beginners who need experts to think for them is years past its best before date. But this claim is just great if you believe that only an elite is capable of making intelligent decisions and the rest should just shut up and do as they are told. Wasn’t that how the aristocracy worked in the 18th century, when the privileged few did the thinking? People thinking with their own heads have always been a problem for those who crave power. Today they can shut those troublemakers down by invoking expertise instead of inherited nobility. Either way you can forget about democracy.

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We have seen the end of yet another UN “Climate Fest”, with COP 16 in Cancun. The actual conference, however, is just the “tip of the iceberg” of the massive wheeling and dealing that goes on all year round.

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The collection of Original Papers at SPPI are authored by people with impressive credentials in science, or at least they have a demonstrated grasp of the various technical aspects of global warming theory through their history of writing on the subject. I must stress on no uncertain terms that I do not share those accomplishments, a fact that will no doubt delight believers of anthropogenic global warming (AGW) and prompt them to read no further into this paper, but instead accuse SPPI of issuing papers written by people unqualified to speak about the subject. That would be unfortunate, as the evidence I present here and the questions I ask are things any unqualified, disinterested bystander might find and ask about. Indeed, believers of AGW could have posed the following to each other in order to see if their criticisms about skeptic scientists survive under hard scrutiny.

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Summary: The Obama administration is rapidly promulgating greenhouse gas regula tions under the Clean Air Act, something it was arguably never designed to do. This series of regulations is fraught with difficulties as the Environmental Protection Agency is trying to redefine several provisions of the Act in order to apply them to greenhouse gases. This Working Paper examines the possibilities that the EPA could resurrect cap-and-trade as either best available control technology for prevention of significant deterioration permits or as the standard of performance under the new source performance standard program. In order to use either of these provisions to enact a greenhouse gas cap-and-trade program, EPA will have to find “an elephant in a mousehole.” The Paper also includes a discussion of how cap-and-trade would help EPA accomplish emission reduction goals that cannot be effectively pursued under a traditional application of the Clean Air Act.

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Last week, Michael Ignatieff and 142 other Members of Parliament voted in favour of a motion to ban oil tanker traffic on the north coast of British Columbia. This week, Liberal MP Joyce Murray from Vancouver Quadra introduced Bill C-606 to put that motion into law by amending the Canada Shipping Act to prohibit oil tanker traffic on the north and central coast of British Columbia.

Ms. Murray and every single one of those MPs played right into the hands of the U.S. foundations seeking to block oil tanker traffic. Whether intentional or not, these actions will also stop oil exports to Asia. On the surface, this is about oil, Canada's single most important export. More important, this is about the sovereignty of our country, which should be decided by Canadians, not foreign-funded campaigns.

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The notion of a static, unchanging climate is foreign to the history of the earth or any other planet with a fluid envelope. The fact that the developed world went into hysterics over changes in global mean temperature anomaly of a few tenths of a degree will astound future generations. Such hysteria simply represents the scientific illiteracy of much of the public, the susceptibility of the public to the substitution of repetition for truth, and the exploitation of these weaknesses by politicians, environmental promoters, and, after 20 years of media drum beating, many others as well.

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Prof. Larry Bell's Response to RealClimate.org's Alleged “Debunking” of My Forbes Article titled “Hot Sensations vs. Cold Facts” (Bell is author of the new book: "Climate of Corruption: Politics and Power behind the Global Warming Hoax.")

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Whilst the continual scientific rebuttals of the climate reports produced by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) may make many people think that this charade cannot continue much longer, behind the scenes it is quite irrelevant; the long-term process marches relentlessly on as if there had never been any challenges at all. As the advocates throw in yet more spurious claims of the “hottest year on record”, or record cold caused by CO2 emissions, they occupy the debate, and determine the daily agenda in the media, whilst those who know that the claims are spurious, are driven to waste time, effort and resources on refuting them.

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In this report, we review the long-term climate history of Utah and find little in the way of evidence that the greenhouse gas build-up in the atmosphere has much altered Utah’s climate. While statewide average temperatures have generally appeared to have risen in Utah over the past 100 years, they have fallen during the past 15 years. Further, there is evidence that the state’s temperature record contains non-climatic influences—such as land use changes, instrument changes, and improper instrument siting—which together add a warming bias to the state’s long-term temperature history, making it seem like the temperature has been increasing more than it actually has been.

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