When Sea Level Change is Not Sea Level Change Print E-mail
Written by Dr. Timothy Ball   
Tuesday, 22 November 2011 12:47

Many claim sea level is rising because of global warming and point to changes along the Gulf of Mexico coast. Sea level has risen since the end of the last Ice Age (Figure 1), but it has slowed dramatically in the last few hundred years. However, shoreline change is not just a function of water level change. Misdirection using fear and misinformation divert from and hinder human ability to adapt to an ever changing world.



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Global Warming, Human Induced Carbon Emissions and Their Uncertainties Print E-mail
Written by Fang J Y, Zhu J L, Wang S P   
Wednesday, 09 November 2011 11:20

Global warming is an objective fact with great uncertainty in the magnitude of the temperature increase. Worldwide observational data indicate that the global average temperature has increased during the last century. In addition to rising temperatures, evidence of global warming also includes the global increase in the average sea level, widespread snow and ice melt, and changes in plant phenology. However, this still has large uncertainties in the magnitude of the global temperature rise.



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SPPI Collection of Papers as of December 2011, UPDATED Print E-mail
Written by SPPI   
Thursday, 03 November 2011 00:00

A collection of papers from Science and Public Policy Institute.



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Gross Errors in the IPCC-AR4 Report Regarding Past & Future Changes in Global Tropical Cyclone Activity - A Noble Disgrace Print E-mail
Written by William M. Gray   
Monday, 17 October 2011 16:46

ABSTRACT

The United Nation’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Assessment Report Four (AR-4) of 2007, concerning the influence of rising levels of CO2 on global increases of tropical cyclone (TC) activity is inaccurate and a disgrace to the scientific community. The public expected there would be rigor and objectivity coming out of such an important document which shared a Nobel Peace Prize with former US Vice President Al Gore. The summary of TC activity of this report was based on discredited peer-reviewed papers whose lack of authenticity was known before the report was released. A select cadre of global warming advocates (with little TC knowledge or experience) bent their objectivity to drive this report toward a desired (but faulty) conclusion that global TC activity was increasing in frequency and intensity. They further implied that a large portion of this alleged TC increase could likely be attributed to rising levels of CO2.

This paper brings forth observational and theoretical evidence to show that rising levels of CO2 have not had any observable association with increases in global tropical cyclone frequency and intensity. In fact, levels have been trending downward over the last 20 years. This paper discusses why we should not be able to measure any potential future CO2-TC association for many decades, and if any such potential future relationship should ever be able to be isolated, it would be quite small. It also dissects the many observational and theoretical errors of the IPCC-AR4 concerning its reported past and likely future increases of global TC activity.

This paper extends the list of IPCC-AR4’s many questionable conclusions and misrepresentation beyond those that have already been earlier pointed out such as the Himalayas becoming snow-free by 2035, the Arctic Ocean possibly becoming ice-free in coming decades, and the possible coming Amazon rainforest destruction. The issuance of these erroneous IPCC reports does much damage. They should be terminated.



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MAP: The Climate Change Scare Machine - The Perpetual Self-Feeding Cycle of Alarm Print E-mail
Written by Joanne Nova   
Friday, 07 October 2011 01:08

Two professors of sociology think they can explain why “Climate Deniers” are winning. But Riley E. Dunlap and Aaron M. McCright start from the wrong assumption and miss the bleeding obvious: the theory was wrong, the evidence has changed, and thousands of volunteers have exposed it.

The real question sociologists will be studying for years to come is: how was an exaggerated scare, based on so little evidence, poor reasoning and petty namecalling, kept alive for two whole decades?



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Empirical Determination of Climate Sensitivity Print E-mail
Written by Christopher Monckton   
Wednesday, 28 September 2011 19:50

By an astonishing 15 distinct methods, Christopher Monckton of Brenchley demonstrates in his latest SPPI technical paper that the warming we can expect in response to the doubling of CO2 concentration that is expected this century will not be 6 F, the IPCC’s central estimate, but only around 2 F.



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Observed Climate Change and the Negligible Effect of Greenhouse-gas Emission Limits in Louisiana UPDATED Print E-mail
Written by SPPI   
Friday, 12 August 2011 00:00

Summary for Policy Makers

In this report we provide a review of Louisiana’s climate history and show that there is no observational evidence of unusual long-term climate changes taking place that could be linked to anthropogenic “global warming”—despite the frequent prognostications of gloom and doom.



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2011 U.S. Temperature Update: Alarmism Not Print E-mail
Written by Chip Knappenberger   
Thursday, 28 July 2011 11:45

The first six months of 2011 are now in the books. Heat waves are currently in the headlines, but how does the national average temperature compare to other years and ‘normal’? And what does the first half of the year portend for the year as a whole?

The indication is that 2011 will mark the continued return of U.S. national temperatures to conditions much closer to the 20th century mean, down from the unusually elevated temperatures that characterized the 1998–2010 period.

If this proves to be the case, it strongly suggests that the unusually warm decade from 1998–2007, was just that–unusual–and does not best represent the expected trend or the climate state of the U.S. for the next several decades to come.



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A Chronological Listing of Early Weather Events Print E-mail
Written by James A. Marusek   
Thursday, 28 July 2011 11:34

The focus of this paper is early (historic) weather events. The chronology cuts off at the year 1900 A.D.

Recent weather events are fairly well documented. Excluded from the chronology are events caused by man (such as the 1642 Kaifeng flood which killed 300,000 Chinese, and the 1938 Yellow River flood that caused 500,000 Japanese/Chinese fatalities) and events caused by other non-weather related catastrophes (such as tsunami waves caused by earthquakes/volcanoes). The chronology does include major volcano induced global cooling events.

This chronology begins at 0 A.D. A few of the source chronologies actual date some weather events as far back as 1,800 B.C. I have left these out of this chronology because the further one goes back in time, the less certain the dates. This is because these chronologies use calendars (such as AM – Anno Mundi), and the events in many cases were derived using a variety of ancient calendars systems. And date uncertainty is introduced in calendar conversion. This is also due to the inexactness within the narrative descriptions.

Why is a chronological listing of weather events of value? If one wishes to peer into the future, then a firm grasp of the past events is a key to that gateway. This is intrinsically true for the scientific underpinnings of weather and climate.



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A Scientific Reply to Specific Claims and Statements in EPA's Proposed NESHAP Rule, Focusing on Mercury Emission Issues Print E-mail
Written by Willie Soon, PhD SPPI   
Wednesday, 27 July 2011 10:21

Important new scientific report challenges EPA claims about mercury risks from power plants Real threat is from power plant closings, soaring electricity rates and lost jobs.



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How It Got So Hot ... Hot It Got So Humid ... How Cooling May Have Played A Role Print E-mail
Written by Joseph D’Aleo, CCM, AMS Fellow   
Monday, 25 July 2011 23:22

The southern plains drought, followed the second strongest La Niña (behind only 1917/18) according to the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), an atmospheric pressure based measure (standardized Darwin, Australia versus Tahiti surface pressure). Positive values are La Niña, negative El Niños. The April to April SOI showed the 1917/18 peak and 2010/11 close behind.



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Global Warming Art? Print E-mail
Written by Paul C. Knappenberger   
Thursday, 21 July 2011 09:52

Does a piece of art mean something because the artist intended it to go so, or, rather can the meaning be perceived differently by each viewer?

The artist may want us to think about something when viewing a piece of art, but are we bound to do so? And what if the artist is wrong? Does the art then become nothing but a collection of material with no soul? Does the art cease to be, or can each of us resurrect it again, to fit our own sense and sensibilities?

I ponder these questions as I read about a new art installation being erected at the University of Wyoming. The installation includes an outdoor sculpture by British artist Chris Drury entitled “Carbon Sink.” The piece is to consist of a large horizontal swirl of pine logs from trees that were killed from pine beetle attacks that Drury links to global warming. Amongst the log swirls are to be set chunks of coal, and all will spiral into a black pit of charred logs in the center. You can follow progress at Chris Drury’s blog site.



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Estimates of Global Food Production in the Year 2050 - Will We Produce Enough to Adequately Feed the World? Print E-mail
Written by Craig D. Idso, Ph.D.   
Thursday, 30 June 2011 16:44

Global food security is one of the most pressing societal issues of our time. Based on food production databases assembled and maintained by the United Nations, I have identified the specific crops that supply 95% of the food needs of the world, six large regions into which the world may be divided, twenty sub-regions, and twenty-five individual countries of particular interest. I have then projected trends in the productivities of these key crops for each of these geographical areas to the year 2050, finding that expected advances in agricultural technology and expertise will significantly increase the food production potential of many countries and regions, but discovering that these advances will not increase production fast enough to meet the demands of the planet’s even faster-growing human population. The positive impact of Earth’s rising atmospheric CO2 concentration on crop yields, however, will considerably lessen the severity of the looming food shortage. In some regions and countries it will mean the difference between being food secure or food insecure; and it will aid in lifting untold hundreds of millions of people out of a state of hunger and malnutrition, thereby preventing widespread starvation and premature death.



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You Don't Need A PhD To Spot Outrageously Bad Science Print E-mail
Written by Joanne Nova   
Wednesday, 29 June 2011 13:47

The Utah State Legislature produced HJR 12, calling for the EPA to substantiate its claims about carbon dioxide. It's the most obvious of statements, so mundane it shouldn’t even be necessary. How, you wonder, could any scientist complain about that? (What is science if its claims are not substantiated?) Nonetheless, the Utah Legislature have been criticized (and twice) by a small cadre of PhDs at Brigham Young University (BYU). Disturbingly these scientists don't appear to have examined the empirical evidence themselves, and merely repeat the conclusions of others. Worse, their criticisms are filled with logical errors, baseless assertions and mistaken assumptions.



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Uncertainty in Utah - Hydrologic Data Print E-mail
Written by Randall P. Julander   
Tuesday, 28 June 2011 15:33

A three part series that examines some of the systematic bias in Snow Course, SNOTEL, Streamflow data and Hydrologic Models.



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In-Line Commentary on the Chapter "Causer and Consequences of Climate Change" Print E-mail
Written by Paul C. Knappenberger   
Sunday, 26 June 2011 10:36

The NAS panel's scientific justification for increasing the price of carbon dioxide does not include new research, but instead draws from the standard set of human-caused-climate-change-is-happening-and-will-be-bad talking points. The climate change science that the NAS found significant for basing their recommendations for increasing the price of carbon dioxide emissions is summarized in Chapter 2 ("Causes and Consequences of Climate Change") of the NAS report.



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Compact Fluorescent Lights (CFLs) are Costly and Dangerous - Can Cause Fires - Even Explosions! Print E-mail
Written by Edmund Contoski   
Sunday, 26 June 2011 10:06

A compact fluorescent light (CFL) on the ceiling burst and started a fire in a home in Hornell, N.Y. December 23, 2010. “Those are the lights everybody’s been telling us to use,” said Joe Gerych, Steuben County Fire Inspector. “It blew up like a bomb. It spattered all over.” Fire Chief Mike Robbins said the blaze destroyed the room where the fire started and everything in it, and the rest of the house suffered smoke and water damage. The Arkport Village Fire Department as well as the North Hornell Fire Department required about 15 minutes to put out the fire.



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The Great Sea-Level Humbug: There Is No Alarming Sea Level Rise! Print E-mail
Written by Nils-Axel Morner   
Friday, 27 May 2011 11:28

In an interview and paper published in 21st Century in 2007, I have shown that global sea level is not in an alarming rising mode, which is the main threat in the International Panel on Climate Change scenario.



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The United Nations-States Environmental Protection Agency Print E-mail
Written by Dennis Ambler   
Friday, 27 May 2011 11:20

In view of the rejection by the EPA of challenges to their endangerment finding, why would we be surprised to find that they have a long-term stake in the IPCC’s climate models and in the continuance of the IPCC itself.



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Nancy Pelosi's Giant Carbon Footprint Print E-mail
Written by Paul C. Knappenberger   
Thursday, 26 May 2011 00:00

A few months ago Judicial Watch, which describes itself as a “a conservative, non-partisan educational foundation, [which] promotes transparency, accountability and integrity in government, politics and the law” summarized the results of its Freedom of Information request for records concerning Nancy Pelosi’s use of Air Force aircraft for her transportation while Speaker of the House.



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